Thursday, October 23, 2008

New Polls - Run as fast as you can

So new poll numbers out today make for interesting reading, amazing out much time is now spent looking and analyzing these numbers.

Yet three polls stand out

Montana which has Obama up 44 -40, Is this a new shift that mirrors the new swing in North Dakota?

and Indiana which has this startling poll, and this one which seems more likely.

First off let's throw out the +10, Obama winning Indiana by 10 I think is a big in the flights of fantasy. The +2 seems more likely, but at least puts the state in a toss up.

Obama's strong showing in the primary should not be discounted here, there is a big media buy for the Chicago and Indianapolis market that seem to be helping.

Maybe a trip to Evansville, IN might help the numbers swing left? ...

But yet Democrats should be amazed that numbers like the +10 in Indiana are even polled in the first place.

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